Inferensys

Glossary

Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT)

A per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold and related models that estimates the local accuracy of the predicted structure, serving as a critical filter for interpreting model reliability.
MLOps engineer reviewing model serving infrastructure on laptop, container orchestration visible, technical workspace.
CONFIDENCE METRIC

What is Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT)?

A per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold and related models that estimates the local accuracy of the predicted structure.

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is a per-residue confidence metric that estimates the local accuracy of a predicted 3D structure by evaluating the model's internal distance error. It serves as the primary reliability filter for interpreting AlphaFold outputs, with values scaled from 0 to 100 where higher scores indicate greater predicted agreement with a hypothetical experimental structure.

The metric is derived by training a neural network head to predict the local distance difference test (lDDT) score—a superposition-free measure comparing interatomic distances within a defined radius—directly from the model's internal representations. Residues with pLDDT > 90 are considered high-confidence and suitable for detailed structural analysis, while regions below 50 are often intrinsically disordered and should be treated as unreliable.

Confidence Metric

Key Characteristics of pLDDT

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is a per-residue confidence metric that estimates the local accuracy of a predicted protein or RNA structure. It serves as a critical filter for interpreting model reliability and identifying well-ordered regions.

01

Per-Residue Confidence Scoring

pLDDT provides a confidence score between 0 and 100 for each individual residue in a predicted structure. This granularity allows researchers to identify which regions of a model are reliable and which are intrinsically disordered or poorly predicted.

  • High confidence (90-100): Residues are predicted with high accuracy, typically corresponding to well-ordered secondary structure elements like alpha-helices and beta-sheets
  • Moderate confidence (70-90): Residues likely have a generally correct backbone but may contain local errors
  • Low confidence (50-70): Regions with significant uncertainty, often corresponding to flexible loops
  • Very low confidence (<50): Strong indicator of intrinsic disorder or complete lack of structural information
0-100
Score Range
Per-Residue
Resolution
03

Superposition-Free Evaluation

Unlike Root Mean Square Deviation (RMSD) or Template Modeling Score (TM-score), pLDDT does not require global superposition of structures. This makes it particularly robust for evaluating multi-domain proteins and RNA molecules where relative domain orientations may vary.

  • Evaluates local atomic environments within a 15 Å inclusion radius
  • Considers all atom pairs within the radius, not just Cα atoms
  • Insensitive to hinge motions and domain rearrangements
  • Provides a more biologically relevant assessment of model quality
04

AlphaFold's Self-Assessment Mechanism

In AlphaFold 2 and AlphaFold 3, pLDDT is produced by a dedicated output head trained to predict the lDDT-Cα score that the predicted structure would achieve against an experimental reference. This self-assessment is integral to the model's iterative recycling process.

  • The pLDDT head is trained regressively on the difference between predicted and actual lDDT-Cα
  • During inference, pLDDT values guide the recycling procedure, allowing the model to focus refinement on low-confidence regions
  • AlphaFold 3 extends this to all atom types, including RNA, DNA, and ligands
05

Practical Applications in Structural Biology

pLDDT scores are used extensively to filter and interpret predicted structures in downstream applications. They provide a quantitative basis for deciding which regions of a model to trust for biological interpretation or experimental design.

  • Cryo-EM model building: Low pLDDT regions often correspond to flexible domains with weak density
  • Drug design: Binding site residues with high pLDDT are prioritized for docking studies
  • Protein engineering: High pLDDT loops are selected as stable scaffold regions
  • Intrinsic disorder prediction: Persistently low pLDDT across multiple models strongly suggests disordered regions
>90
High Accuracy Threshold
<50
Disorder Indicator
06

Limitations and Interpretation Caveats

While pLDDT is a powerful confidence metric, it has important limitations that users must understand to avoid overinterpretation. pLDDT reflects predicted local accuracy, not global correctness or functional validity.

  • High pLDDT ≠ correct fold: A confidently predicted structure can still be globally incorrect if the model is out-of-distribution
  • Low pLDDT ≠ disorder: Some well-ordered regions may receive low scores if they are conformationally heterogeneous in the training set
  • Not a quality of model (QMEAN) replacement: pLDDT is a self-assessment, not an independent validation metric
  • RNA-specific challenges: pLDDT for RNA predictions in AlphaFold 3 is less well-calibrated than for proteins due to limited training data
CONFIDENCE METRICS

Frequently Asked Questions

Understanding the Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is critical for interpreting the reliability of computationally predicted protein and RNA structures. These questions address the metric's calculation, interpretation, and role in filtering structural biology data.

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is a per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold and related models that estimates the local accuracy of a predicted 3D structure without requiring an experimental reference. It is calculated by the model's internal structure module, which predicts the distance error for each residue pair. The pLDDT score for a residue is derived by comparing the predicted local distance errors to a threshold, effectively approximating the local lDDT-Cα score. The model is trained to regress these errors self-consistently during structure generation. The output is a scalar value between 0 and 100, where higher scores indicate higher predicted accuracy. Crucially, pLDDT is a supervised confidence measure learned during training, not a post-hoc energy score, making it a direct readout of the model's internal uncertainty about local geometry.

STRUCTURAL CONFIDENCE COMPARISON

pLDDT vs. Other Confidence Metrics

A comparison of per-residue and global confidence metrics used to assess the reliability of computationally predicted protein and RNA structures.

FeaturepLDDTPAERMSD

Granularity

Per-residue

Per-residue pair

Global

Scale

0-100

0-30+ Å

0+ Å

Measures

Local confidence

Domain orientation error

Global superposition error

Requires reference structure

Output by AlphaFold 3

Useful for flexible region assessment

Correlates with Cα error

High

N/A

N/A

Typical reliable threshold

70

< 5 Å

< 2 Å

Prasad Kumkar

About the author

Prasad Kumkar

CEO & MD, Inference Systems

Prasad Kumkar is the CEO & MD of Inference Systems and writes about AI systems architecture, LLM infrastructure, model serving, evaluation, and production deployment. Over 5+ years, he has worked across computer vision models, L5 autonomous vehicle systems, and LLM research, with a focus on taking complex AI ideas into real-world engineering systems.

His work and writing cover AI systems, large language models, AI agents, multimodal systems, autonomous systems, inference optimization, RAG, evaluation, and production AI engineering.