Inferensys

Glossary

pLDDT (Predicted Local Distance Difference Test)

A per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold2 that estimates the local accuracy of the predicted structure on a scale from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating higher reliability.
AI evaluator reviewing output quality on laptop, comparison metrics visible, casual evaluation session.
CONFIDENCE METRIC

What is pLDDT (Predicted Local Distance Difference Test)?

A per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold2 that estimates the local accuracy of the predicted structure on a scale from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating higher reliability.

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is a per-residue, superposition-free confidence metric that estimates the local agreement between a predicted structure and a hypothetical experimental reference. It is computed as a linear projection of the raw distance error distributions predicted by the structure module of AlphaFold2, producing a score scaled from 0 to 100. A score above 90 indicates high accuracy suitable for characterizing binding sites, while scores below 50 suggest the region is likely disordered or a strong predictor of low confidence.

Unlike global metrics such as TM-score or RMSD, pLDDT evaluates local backbone correctness without requiring structural alignment, making it robust to domain orientation errors. The metric is derived from the predicted fraction of Cα atom pairs within a 15 Å radius that fall within a distance error threshold, effectively quantifying the model's self-assessment of its own coordinate error. Regions with low pLDDT often correspond to intrinsically disordered regions (IDRs) or flexible loops, guiding researchers on which structural segments to trust for downstream applications like molecular docking.

Confidence Metric

Key Characteristics of pLDDT

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is the primary per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold2. It provides a quantitative estimate of local structural accuracy on a scale from 0 to 100, enabling researchers to identify reliable regions within a predicted protein model.

01

Definition and Scale

pLDDT is a per-residue confidence score ranging from 0 to 100. It predicts the local distance difference test (lDDT) score that the predicted structure would achieve against an experimental reference. A score of 100 indicates perfect local agreement, while lower scores signal regions of uncertainty. The metric is stored in the B-factor column of the output PDB file for direct visualization in molecular graphics software.

0–100
Score Range
02

Interpretation Thresholds

AlphaFold2's confidence bands guide practical usage:

  • Very high (pLDDT > 90): High accuracy, suitable for detailed structural analysis and drug docking.
  • Confident (90 > pLDDT > 70): Generally good backbone prediction, useful for fold classification.
  • Low (70 > pLDDT > 50): Low confidence, treat with caution; may indicate flexible loops.
  • Very low (pLDDT < 50): Strong predictor of intrinsic disorder; these regions likely lack a fixed structure in isolation.
03

Local vs. Global Accuracy

pLDDT is explicitly a local superposition-free metric. It assesses the correctness of inter-atomic distances within a 15 Å radius around each residue, making it insensitive to rigid-body domain movements. A model can have high pLDDT scores in individual domains but a poor global arrangement. For domain-level orientation confidence, consult the complementary Predicted Aligned Error (PAE) matrix.

04

Training and Calibration

The pLDDT predictor is a separate output head of the AlphaFold2 structure module, trained self-supervisedly. During training, the predicted structure is compared to the ground truth, and the model learns to estimate the lDDT it would achieve. This makes pLDDT a well-calibrated prediction of error, not just an arbitrary internal score. It has been validated against experimental depositions in the PDB.

05

Role in Model Recycling

pLDDT serves a critical operational role during AlphaFold2's recycling phase. The per-residue confidence scores from one iteration are fed as input features into the next. This allows the model to iteratively focus its attention on low-confidence regions, progressively refining the structure over multiple recycling passes until the confidence estimates converge.

06

Visualization and Coloring

The standard visualization convention uses a color spectrum from blue to red:

  • Blue: Very high confidence (pLDDT > 90)
  • Cyan: Confident (90 > pLDDT > 70)
  • Yellow: Low confidence (70 > pLDDT > 50)
  • Orange/Red: Very low confidence (pLDDT < 50) This coloring is the default in the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database and is essential for rapid visual assessment of prediction quality.
CONFIDENCE METRICS

Frequently Asked Questions

Clear, technically precise answers to the most common questions about the pLDDT metric, its interpretation, and its role in evaluating AlphaFold2 predictions.

The Predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) is a per-residue confidence metric output by AlphaFold2 that estimates the local accuracy of the predicted structure on a scale from 0 to 100. It works by predicting the lDDT-Cα score—a superposition-free metric that evaluates the correctness of interatomic distances within a 15 Å radius—without requiring a known reference structure. During training, the model learns to regress this self-consistency score directly from the final structure module's output. A score above 90 indicates very high side-chain accuracy suitable for detailed mechanistic analysis, while scores below 50 suggest intrinsically disordered regions or low-confidence loops. The metric is stored in the B-factor column of the output PDB file, enabling immediate visual mapping onto the 3D structure in tools like PyMOL or ChimeraX.

Prasad Kumkar

About the author

Prasad Kumkar

CEO & MD, Inference Systems

Prasad Kumkar is the CEO & MD of Inference Systems and writes about AI systems architecture, LLM infrastructure, model serving, evaluation, and production deployment. Over 5+ years, he has worked across computer vision models, L5 autonomous vehicle systems, and LLM research, with a focus on taking complex AI ideas into real-world engineering systems.

His work and writing cover AI systems, large language models, AI agents, multimodal systems, autonomous systems, inference optimization, RAG, evaluation, and production AI engineering.