Local feature importance decomposes a single model prediction into the additive contribution of each input feature relative to a baseline value. Unlike global feature importance, which identifies generally influential features across all predictions, local explanations answer the question: "Why did the model make this specific prediction for this specific instance?" This granularity is essential for debugging individual errors, auditing high-stakes decisions, and generating counterfactual explanations.
Glossary
Local Feature Importance

What is Local Feature Importance?
Local feature importance quantifies the contribution of each input feature to a specific, individual prediction made by a machine learning model, in contrast to global importance which averages effects across an entire dataset.
Methods such as SHAP and LIME compute local importance by approximating the complex model's decision boundary around the instance of interest. SHAP assigns each feature a Shapley value representing its fair marginal contribution, guaranteeing that the sum of all attributions equals the difference between the prediction and the average model output. This provides a complete, instance-level decomposition that satisfies the local accuracy and efficiency properties.
Key Properties of Local Feature Importance
Local feature importance decomposes a single prediction into the additive contribution of each input feature, answering the question: 'Why did the model make this specific prediction for this specific instance?'
Instance-Specific Attribution
Unlike global methods that describe average model behavior, local importance explains a single prediction. The attribution values are computed for one input vector at a time, revealing which features pushed that particular prediction higher or lower relative to the baseline. This is critical for auditing high-stakes decisions like loan denials or medical diagnoses, where the reasoning for each case must be individually justified.
Additive Decomposition
Local feature importance methods express a prediction as a linear sum of feature contributions. The final prediction equals the baseline value plus the sum of all individual feature attributions. This additive property ensures that the explanation is complete and self-consistent—every unit of the prediction is accounted for by a specific feature's influence, leaving no unexplained residual.
Contrastive Against a Baseline
Every local explanation is inherently contrastive: it explains why the prediction differs from a reference or baseline value. The baseline represents the expected model output when no feature information is known. Feature attributions then quantify how each feature moved the prediction away from this neutral starting point, making explanations relative and context-dependent.
Directional Impact
Local importance values carry both magnitude and sign. A positive attribution indicates the feature increased the prediction relative to the baseline, while a negative attribution shows it decreased the prediction. This directional information is essential for understanding not just which features matter, but how they influence the outcome—enabling precise debugging and actionable recourse.
Interaction Effects
Beyond individual feature contributions, local explanations can capture pairwise interactions where the combined effect of two features differs from the sum of their individual effects. For example, age and income might interact non-additively in a credit risk model. Interaction values distribute credit among feature pairs, revealing synergistic or antagonistic relationships that single-feature attributions miss.
Model-Agnostic Applicability
Local feature importance frameworks like SHAP and LIME are designed to be model-agnostic, operating on any black-box model regardless of its internal architecture. They treat the model as a function from inputs to outputs, requiring only the ability to query predictions. This universality makes local explanations a portable auditing tool across diverse model types—from gradient-boosted trees to deep neural networks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Clear answers to common questions about instance-level model explanations and how individual predictions are decomposed into feature contributions.
Local feature importance quantifies the contribution of each input feature to a model's prediction for a single, specific instance, whereas global feature importance aggregates contributions across an entire dataset to describe overall model behavior. Local importance answers 'Why did the model make this prediction for this customer?' by decomposing the prediction into additive feature effects relative to a baseline. For example, a local explanation might reveal that a loan rejection was driven primarily by a high debt-to-income ratio and a recent missed payment for that individual applicant, while global importance would only show that debt-to-income ratio is generally the most influential factor across all applications. This instance-level granularity is critical for debugging individual errors, generating actionable recourse, and meeting regulatory requirements for specific automated decisions.
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Related Terms
Master the core concepts surrounding instance-level model interpretation, from game-theoretic foundations to practical visualization techniques.
Marginal Contribution
The difference in prediction when a feature is added to a specific subset of other features. This is the atomic unit of Shapley value computation.
- Formula:
v(S ∪ {i}) - v(S)whereSis a coalition without featurei - Averaging: SHAP averages this over all possible coalitions
- Purpose: Isolates the unique information a feature brings beyond what other features already provide
Baseline Value
The expected model output across the background dataset, representing the prediction when no feature information is known. All SHAP values are measured relative to this anchor.
- Role: The starting point of every waterfall plot
- Selection: Typically the mean prediction over a representative sample
- Impact: Changing the baseline changes all feature attributions
SHAP Waterfall Plot
A visualization that decomposes a single prediction by showing how each feature pushes the model output from the baseline value to the final prediction.
- Structure: Starts at
E[f(x)]and ends atf(x) - Color Coding: Red for positive contributions, blue for negative
- Use Case: Explaining a specific loan denial or medical diagnosis to a stakeholder
Efficiency Property
A Shapley axiom ensuring that the sum of all feature attributions exactly equals the difference between the model's prediction and the baseline value.
- Guarantee:
Σ φ_i = f(x) - E[f(X)] - Significance: No attribution is lost or double-counted
- Contrast: Unlike LIME, SHAP provides a complete accounting of the prediction
Interventional vs. Observational SHAP
Two causal interpretations of SHAP that handle feature correlation differently:
- Interventional SHAP: Breaks correlations by sampling from marginal distributions; reflects model behavior under intervention
- Observational SHAP: Preserves correlations by conditioning on observed values; reflects model behavior on the natural data manifold
- Trade-off: Interventional is causally cleaner but may evaluate the model on unrealistic data points

About the author
Prasad Kumkar
CEO & MD, Inference Systems
Prasad Kumkar is the CEO & MD of Inference Systems and writes about AI systems architecture, LLM infrastructure, model serving, evaluation, and production deployment. Over 5+ years, he has worked across computer vision models, L5 autonomous vehicle systems, and LLM research, with a focus on taking complex AI ideas into real-world engineering systems.
His work and writing cover AI systems, large language models, AI agents, multimodal systems, autonomous systems, inference optimization, RAG, evaluation, and production AI engineering.
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